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Inside Polymarket’s United States Market Comeback

Considering how fast-moving the world of crypto and online betting is, comebacks are rare. One company has managed to do it. Polymarket’s return to the United States is, however, not just a restart. It also involves some reinvention. The platform, once synonymous with election betting, is now staking its claim in sports wagering, crypto casinos, and the broader world of tokenized prediction markets.

After a two-year hiatus forced by regulatory scrutiny, Polymarket has rebuilt from the ground up. Its relaunch begins with a waitlist rollout for iOS, with Android on the horizon. The platform’s federal approval from the CFTC allows Polymarket to operate fully within U.S. commodities regulations. Shayne Coplan, the founder, went back to the drawing board, turning Polymarket into a platform designed not just for thrill-seekers but for serious, compliant crypto traders.

More Than Gambling?

Polymarket is not interested in being “just another sportsbook.” Its philosophy positions wagers as tradable stakes in real-world outcomes. Players start with sports events, but the vision quickly expands into proposition markets, eSports, and eventually the kinds of prediction contracts that made the platform famous during the 2024 elections. Every bet is a transaction, every outcome traceable, every trade transparent. As expected, the gaming experience is built on blockchain’s speed and security.

Naturally, the competition is fierce. Kalshi, valued at $11 billion, has emerged as the primary rival, raising $1 billion in 2025. Both platforms are vying for high-profile partnerships with fantasy sports apps, mainstream brokers, and sports leagues. Polymarket has aligned with PrizePicks and will act as DraftKings’ clearinghouse, while Kalshi has integrated with Robinhood and CNN, at times accounting for a staggering portion of trading volume.

And the numbers are quite impressive, with October 2025 being a record-setting month. Kalshi processed $5.81 billion and Polymarket $3.7 billion. The explosive appetite for blockchain-based betting and the opportunities in the next-generation iGaming landscape are certainly not going away.

The Legal Landscape

Regulatory hurdles remain central to any U.S. expansion. Kalshi is currently embroiled in state-level legal disputes in Nevada and New Jersey, while Polymarket’s federal clearance gives it a strategic advantage in navigating the fragmented legal landscape.

To further the push, Polymarket’s ambitions are backed by serious capital. That includes a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange and the NYSE parent, which supports a valuation target of $15 billion. Adding Donald Trump Jr. as an advisor signals a high-profile push into mainstream iGaming and crypto casino spaces, leveraging evolving U.S. regulations. It remains to be seen if that is enough to keep the wheels rolling.

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Crypto.com and Underdog Forge Path for $500M U.S. Prediction Market Industry

The worlds of digital finance and sports are seemingly converging again for enthusiasts in some states. Underdog, a fast-growing fantasy and sports gaming company, has struck a deal with Crypto.com to bring sports prediction markets to 16 U.S. states. For regions still resisting traditional sports betting, this collaboration may provide a fresh entry point for fans who want to engage with the action in new ways.

Good Old Trading, But for Sports Fans

At the core of the partnership is Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA), a federally registered exchange that specializes in sports event contracts. These contracts will sit directly on Underdog’s platform, effectively transforming sports speculation into a regulated trading environment. As Crypto.com’s Travis McGhee noted, this approach broadens access while positioning sports prediction as more than just betting. It is now much closer to financial trading with a sports twist.

The design mimics a marketplace more than a sportsbook. Instead of placing a fixed wager, users can buy or sell outcomes based on supply, demand, and sentiment. These are the same forces that drive financial markets. It’s an approach tailored for younger, tech-savvy audiences already comfortable with crypto exchanges and retail investing apps.

Eyes on States Like California and Texas

The significance of this move is amplified by geography. California, Texas, and Florida, the three most populous U.S. states, remain closed to commercial sportsbooks. Florida, in particular, is tightly controlled by the Seminole Tribe, which has a near-monopoly on gambling.

Prediction markets sidestep some of these hurdles because they fall under federal oversight rather than state-by-state gaming rules. For operators, this could reduce friction and open doors that have so far been locked by politics, tribal compacts, or lengthy regulatory battles.

Market analysts are already projecting serious potential. A recent estimate suggested that prediction markets could generate $555 million in 2025. That number pales in comparison to the $16 billion U.S. online betting market in 2024. However, the growth curve forecasts a sector quickly moving from experimental to mainstream.

Big Bets on the Future for Underdog

With this deal, Underdog becomes the first major sports-first operator to lean fully into prediction markets. Its CEO, Jeremy Levine, has argued that sports are the natural frontier for this format, and the company wants to be at the heart of that transition. By blending the adrenaline of betting with the strategy of trading, Underdog is positioning itself to capture a new demographic of players.

Competition is inevitable. Robinhood, Kalshi, Polymarket, and FanDuel are already testing similar waters, and DraftKings has hinted at its own ambitions. Still, Underdog’s early alignment with Crypto.com, which is one of the best-known crypto brands worldwide, gives it both credibility and reach.

If the bet pays off, prediction markets could emerge as a hybrid space where Wall Street meets Las Vegas. For sports fans, that means more than a new way to gamble but also a new way to play the markets.